Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.6%
Colchester
21.0%
Draw
15.5%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Colchester
vs
0.79
Newport County
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.7%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).