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23 Jul 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.7%
Górnik Zabrze
28.6%
Draw
31.8%
Radomiak Radom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Górnik Zabrze

vs
1.21

Radomiak Radom

Markets

BTTS53.4%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).