Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Hamilton
24.9%
Draw
14.3%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Hamilton
vs
0.71
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).