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12 Nov 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.5%
Nott'm Forest
33.1%
Draw
34.4%
Crystal Palace

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Nott'm Forest

vs
1.10

Crystal Palace

Markets

BTTS45.6%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.3%
0-0
13.3%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).