Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.9%
Paris SG
21.5%
Draw
13.6%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Paris SG
vs
0.64
Angers
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
2-0
14.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
8.2%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-0
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).