Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.0%
Hammarby
17.3%
Draw
10.7%
Elfsborg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Hammarby
vs
0.95
Elfsborg
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.9%
1-0
6.7%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-2
3.8%
0-0
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).