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17 Mar 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.6%
Cardiff
20.8%
Draw
19.6%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Cardiff

vs
0.93

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
3.0%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).