Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.0%
Como
26.4%
Draw
19.6%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Como
vs
0.93
Reggina
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).