Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Ad. Demirspor
27.1%
Draw
48.9%
Kasimpasa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Ad. Demirspor
vs
1.93
Kasimpasa
Markets
BTTS65.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
0-1
4.9%
0-3
4.6%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
3.4%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).