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04 May 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.6%
LASK Linz
27.2%
Draw
41.2%
Sturm Graz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

LASK Linz

vs
1.48

Sturm Graz

Markets

BTTS56.4%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).