Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.9%
Motherwell
22.4%
Draw
10.7%
Aberdeen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Motherwell
vs
0.58
Aberdeen
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
15.0%
1-1
10.1%
0-0
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
4.8%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).