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AHT: 02CSV

27 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.4%
Shrewsbury
21.9%
Draw
58.8%
Milton Keynes Dons

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Shrewsbury

vs
1.82

Milton Keynes Dons

Markets

BTTS50.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.0%
0-2
10.6%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
2.9%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).