Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.3%
Scunthorpe
17.3%
Draw
13.4%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
Scunthorpe
vs
1.14
Dorking
Markets
BTTS64.0%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.573.4%
Over 3.553.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.0%
3-1
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-1
7.3%
3-0
7.0%
4-1
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
4-0
4.7%
3-2
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
4-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).