Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Nottingham Forest
37.0%
Draw
29.3%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Nottingham Forest
vs
0.84
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS35.9%
Over 0.580.9%
Over 1.554.2%
Over 2.525.8%
Over 3.510.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.1%
1-1
15.1%
1-0
14.0%
0-1
12.6%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).