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23 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.8%
Pogoń Szczecin
28.1%
Draw
32.1%
Katowice

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Pogoń Szczecin

vs
1.24

Katowice

Markets

BTTS54.9%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).