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20 May 2023 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.4%
Heidenheim
18.0%
Draw
8.6%
Sandhausen

Expected Goals (xG)

2.34

Heidenheim

vs
0.70

Sandhausen

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.2%
1-0
10.5%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-0
6.0%
0-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
5-0
2.8%
1-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).