Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.4%
Crawley Town
27.0%
Draw
43.5%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Crawley Town
vs
1.28
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
9.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).