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04 Oct 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.9%
Crowborough Athletic
26.9%
Draw
23.2%
Mallorca

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Crowborough Athletic

vs
0.92

Mallorca

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
9.9%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).