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02 Nov 2024 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.5%
Guingamp
23.1%
Draw
27.3%
Grenoble

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Guingamp

vs
1.10

Grenoble

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).