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01 Mar 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.5%
Birmingham
22.0%
Draw
13.5%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Birmingham

vs
0.58

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS34.8%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.5%
2-0
14.6%
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
8.1%
0-1
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-0
3.3%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).