⚽ FootballData
4 – 1
HHT: 21CSV

02 Sept 2023 · 15:00

York

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
4.6%
Ebbsfleet
10.3%
Draw
85.1%
York

Expected Goals (xG)

0.73

Ebbsfleet

vs
3.27

York

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.591.2%
Over 2.576.2%
Over 3.556.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
10.7%
0-2
9.8%
0-4
8.7%
1-3
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
1-4
6.4%
0-5
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
1-1
4.7%
1-5
4.2%
2-3
2.8%
2-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).