Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.5%
Las Palmas
22.3%
Draw
12.2%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Las Palmas
vs
0.59
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
2-0
14.7%
1-1
9.9%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
8.6%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).