Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.1%
Estrela
23.5%
Draw
28.4%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Estrela
vs
1.18
Vizela
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).