Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.6%
Bristol City
22.1%
Draw
11.3%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Bristol City
vs
0.66
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
1-0
13.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).