Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.0%
Salford
23.0%
Draw
23.0%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Salford
vs
1.02
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).