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AHT: 03CSV

16 May 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.3%
Panathinaikos
32.0%
Draw
50.7%
Olympiakos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.62

Panathinaikos

vs
1.25

Olympiakos

Markets

BTTS34.1%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.528.9%
Over 3.512.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.2%
0-0
16.5%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
12.1%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-0
2.9%
2-2
2.3%
0-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).