Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Exeter
26.8%
Draw
23.8%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Exeter
vs
0.78
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).