Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.2%
Luton
20.1%
Draw
59.7%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Luton
vs
2.54
Brentford
Markets
BTTS72.1%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.576.5%
Over 3.557.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.6%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-3
5.4%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.6%
0-1
3.6%
2-4
3.4%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).