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08 Mar 2026 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.7%
Brest
26.7%
Draw
20.6%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Brest

vs
0.72

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS37.5%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.7%
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).