Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Cittadella
28.4%
Draw
55.2%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Cittadella
vs
1.51
Lecce
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
12.3%
0-0
12.0%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
6.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.1%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).