Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.1%
Hoffenheim
22.1%
Draw
17.8%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Hoffenheim
vs
1.04
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).