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26 Dec 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.0%
Waregem
26.1%
Draw
36.9%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Waregem

vs
1.45

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS59.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.3%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).