Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Rotherham
27.8%
Draw
41.4%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Rotherham
vs
1.45
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).