Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Liverpool
24.4%
Draw
23.3%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Liverpool
vs
1.29
Leeds
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
0-0
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).