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05 Oct 2024 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.8%
Kasımpaşa
41.0%
Draw
23.2%
Bodrum FK

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Kasımpaşa

vs
0.71

Bodrum FK

Markets

BTTS33.8%
Over 0.577.2%
Over 1.551.8%
Over 2.522.5%
Over 3.58.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
22.8%
1-1
16.0%
1-0
14.9%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
3-0
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
0-3
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).