Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Morton
30.5%
Draw
19.3%
Ross County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Morton
vs
0.83
Ross County
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
12.1%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).