Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.2%
Barnet
9.0%
Draw
2.8%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
3.21
Barnet
vs
0.51
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.551.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
4-0
10.7%
1-0
7.4%
5-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
4-1
5.5%
1-1
4.3%
5-1
3.5%
0-0
2.7%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).