Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Kilmarnock
26.3%
Draw
42.2%
Hamilton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Kilmarnock
vs
1.52
Hamilton
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).