Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Rio Ave
29.5%
Draw
33.4%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Rio Ave
vs
1.17
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.9%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).