Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.5%
Besiktas
15.5%
Draw
8.1%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
Besiktas
vs
1.03
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.577.6%
Over 3.558.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
6.3%
4-0
6.1%
3-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
5-1
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
5-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).