Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Shrewsbury
22.8%
Draw
41.9%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Shrewsbury
vs
1.52
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.2%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).