Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Barnsley
29.5%
Draw
49.3%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Barnsley
vs
1.40
Brentford
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).