Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.8%
Thun
17.8%
Draw
10.4%
Servette
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
Thun
vs
0.99
Servette
Markets
BTTS59.8%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.549.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
8.0%
1-0
5.6%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-2
4.0%
0-0
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).