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16 Jan 2023 · 17:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.2%
Genoa
30.6%
Draw
28.2%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Genoa

vs
1.02

Venezia

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).