Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.5%
Middlesbrough
15.8%
Draw
5.8%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Middlesbrough
vs
0.52
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.5%
1-0
12.4%
3-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.4%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
4-1
3.9%
5-0
3.5%
0-1
2.3%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).