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08 Feb 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.6%
Scunthorpe
19.7%
Draw
67.7%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

0.68

Scunthorpe

vs
1.95

Walsall

Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.5%
0-2
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
9.2%
0-3
8.9%
0-0
6.8%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.3%
0-4
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).