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HHT: 10CSV

22 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.2%
Forest Green
23.7%
Draw
60.1%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

0.69

Forest Green

vs
1.62

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS39.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.5%
0-2
13.0%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.3%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).