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DHT: 10CSV

23 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.0%
Blackburn
32.0%
Draw
33.0%
Bristol City

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Blackburn

vs
1.05

Bristol City

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
11.3%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).