Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Crystal Palace
29.4%
Draw
37.0%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Crystal Palace
vs
1.37
Man United
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.8%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).