Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Barnsley
22.2%
Draw
30.9%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Barnsley
vs
1.30
Exeter
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
0-0
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).